The Docket's Human Stories section occasionally conducts interviews with composite characters — professionals whose circumstances, expertise, and dilemmas are assembled from documented conditions, public data, and the observable reality of specific places. Dolores "Lolo" Aguirre-Voss is one such character: a financial planner who does not exist but whose professional problem very much does. Her practice, her clients, and the numbers she cites are drawn from the documented landscape of South Florida's insurance market, property values, and sea-level projections. The sell-or-stay question she describes is being asked, right now, in offices like the one we've imagined for her.
In Coral Gables, the banyan trees still drop their aerial roots into sidewalks that have not yet flooded. The Mediterranean Revival buildings still hold their coral-rock composure. But inside the financial planning offices along Miracle Mile and Ponce de León Boulevard, a question has migrated from the margins of client conversations to the dead center: Should I sell?
Dolores "Lolo" Aguirre-Voss, CFP, runs a practice she inherited from her father, who built it in the 1980s advising Cuban exiles on South Florida real estate. A generation that believed in Miami the way other people believe in gravity. Now Lolo advises their children and grandchildren, and the math has changed in ways her father's spreadsheets never contemplated. Florida Citizens Property Insurance, the state's insurer of last resort, has shed policies from a peak of roughly 1.42 million in October 2023 to approximately 278,000 as of early July 2026.1 The U.S. Treasury's Federal Insurance Office found that homeowners in the highest-risk 20% of ZIP codes nationally pay 82% more in premiums than those in the lowest-risk quintile.2 And the Southeast Florida Regional Climate Compact projects 21 to 54 inches of sea-level rise by 2070, a range so wide it contains two entirely different futures.3
We spoke with Lolo in late June, over cafecito she made herself because, she said, "the machine in the break room has no respect for the ratio, and I refuse to discuss property values over bad coffee."
You took over your father's practice. What would he make of the conversations you're having now?
Lolo: My father built this practice on one conviction: Miami real estate always comes back. Hurricane Andrew, 2008, whatever. You hold, you wait, you win. And for his generation, that was true. Empirically correct. He wasn't being sentimental. He was reading the data.
The problem is that I have clients sitting in the same chairs their parents sat in, asking me the same question, "is my house a good investment?" and I cannot give them the same answer. The inputs have changed. Insurance used to be a line item. Now it's a variable that can move your monthly payment by thirty percent in a single renewal cycle.
What does the sell-or-stay question actually sound like when a client brings it?
Lolo: Nobody walks in and says "I want to discuss climate-adjusted property valuation." They say, "My insurance went up again." Or, "My condo board just hit us with a special assessment." Or the one that keeps me up at night: "My daughter says we should move to North Carolina."
It starts as a cost conversation. Then it becomes a family conversation. Then, if you're honest with them, it becomes a conversation about what you can and cannot know. And that's where it gets hard, because I'm a financial planner. People pay me to know things. They do not pay me to sit across from them and say, "Well, it depends on the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation."
So what can you tell them?
Lolo: I can tell them what their insurance costs today. I can tell them what their property is assessed at today. I can tell them their FEMA flood zone, their elevation, their condo association's reserve study if they have one. I can tell them that Florida homeowners pay roughly two to three times the national average for property insurance, somewhere between $3,800 and $8,000 depending on location and coverage.4 I can tell them that statewide premiums rose about 75% between 2021 and 2025, nearly double the national rate.5
What I cannot tell them is what any of those numbers will be in five years. And the sell-or-stay decision is a five-year question at minimum.
The insurance market has stabilized somewhat. New carriers entering, Citizens shrinking. Doesn't that help?
Lolo: It helps the way aspirin helps a fever. The fever might be breaking, or the aspirin might be masking it. You don't know until the aspirin wears off.
Seventeen new carriers have entered since the litigation reforms. Citizens is down to 278,000 policies. That's real. But the physical risk underneath has not changed. The water is still rising. S&P has cautioned that we haven't seen Hurricanes Milton and Helene fully reflected in rates yet. Milton alone was $2.39 billion in residential insured losses.6 One bad season and we're back to 2022, except now the carriers that entered on the promise of reform-driven profitability discover that reform doesn't stop storm surge.
You mentioned condo special assessments. How does that layer in?
Lolo: [sets down coffee]
This is the part where I sometimes want to cry in front of clients, which is not a thing they teach you in CFP school. Seventy-four percent of South Florida condos were built before 1993.7 After Surfside, the state required structural integrity reserve studies. Buildings three stories and up can no longer vote to waive reserves. Which is the right policy! Buildings should be safe. But the financial consequence is that owners in aging high-rises are getting hit with special assessments of $100,000, $200,000. There were units in Aventura assessed $400,000.8
Now imagine you're my client. You're 71. You bought your unit in 2015 for $380,000. Your special assessment is $134,000. Your insurance just got nonrenewed. And condo sales are down 20% statewide because every buyer's agent is telling their people to avoid pre-'93 buildings.9
You are holding an asset that is simultaneously demanding cash and losing value. That is a life problem. No spreadsheet resolves it.
What does honest advising look like when the timeline is unknowable?
Lolo: [long pause]
I've started framing it as a one-way door. If you sell before the market reprices climate risk into your neighborhood, you lock in today's value. If you hold and the repricing happens, and research suggests properties projected for tidal flooding by 2032 are already losing about $3 per square foot per year in Miami-Dade,10 you may not be able to exit at a price that preserves your retirement.
The door only swings one direction.
But here's what makes it genuinely impossible: I don't know when the repricing accelerates. Nobody does. The sea-level projections give me a range of 21 to 54 inches by 2070. The difference between those numbers is the difference between "we adapt" and "we retreat." And my client needs an answer by Tuesday.
So what do you actually say on Tuesday?
Lolo: I say: here are the three things I'd want you to think about.
What percentage of your net worth is in this property? What's your time horizon, are you here five years or twenty? And do you have the liquidity to absorb a surprise: a special assessment, a force-placed insurance policy at five times your current premium, a year where you can't sell because buyers can't get coverage in your ZIP code?
If the answer to that last one is no, then we need to have a different conversation. I'm not telling you to sell. I'm telling you that holding requires a financial cushion, and a lot of my clients don't have one.
That sounds like telling them to sell without saying it.
Lolo: [laughs] My father would say the same thing. But it genuinely isn't. I have clients for whom holding makes perfect sense. They're liquid, they love the place, they've hardened the property, they have a plan. And I have clients for whom selling is wrong because they'd be selling at a loss into a market that might recover if we get three quiet hurricane seasons. Three quiet hurricane seasons. Listen to me. That's what passes for a financial strategy now.
My job is to make the tradeoffs visible. The tradeoff right now is certainty of rising costs versus uncertainty of catastrophic loss. That's not a calculation. That's a bet. And I want my clients to know they're making a bet, not following a plan.
Are you making the same bet yourself?
Lolo: I own a house in Coral Gables. Three blocks from my office. My father bought it.
I will tell you that I have looked at the elevation certificate more times in the last two years than in the previous twenty combined. I will tell you that I have not sold it. And I will tell you that I am not sure that is the right decision.
That's what honest advising looks like, by the way. It looks like your advisor telling you she doesn't know either.
Footnotes
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Citizens Property Insurance Corporation, Policies in Force, https://www.citizensfla.com/policies-in-force; Florida Realtors, "Citizens Policies Plummet in 2025," January 6, 2026, https://www.floridarealtors.org/news-media/news-articles/2026/01/citizens-policies-plummet-2025 ↩
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U.S. Treasury / Federal Insurance Office, "New Treasury Data Shows Homeowners Insurance Costs Rising," January 16, 2025, https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy2791 ↩
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Southeast Florida Regional Climate Compact, "Climate Indicators — Sea Level Rise," https://southeastfloridaclimatecompact.org/initiative/climate-indicators-sea-level-rise/ ↩
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Florida All Risk Insurance, "Florida Homeowners Insurance 2025," May 12, 2025, https://floridaallrisk.com/florida-homeowners-insurance-2025/ ↩
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Beinsure, "Florida home insurance premiums rise 75% as weather risks mount," May 22, 2026, https://beinsure.com/news/florida-home-insurance-premiums-rise/ ↩
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Artemis.bm, "Florida reinsurance market better positioned for '26 hurricanes," June 10, 2026, https://www.artemis.bm/news/florida-reinsurance-market-better-positioned-for-26-hurricanes-discipline-expected-to-remain-fitch/ ↩
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Labros Property Holdings, "Stagnation in the Sun: 2026 South Florida Real Estate Market Report," May 29, 2026, https://labrospropertyholdings.com/reports-stagnation-in-the-sun-2026/ ↩
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Florida Property Exemption, "Florida Condo Special Assessments," January 7, 2026, https://www.propertyexemption.com/property-tax/condo-special-assessments-florida/ ↩
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Florida Realtors, "Citizens Policy Count Plummets," October 29, 2025, https://www.floridarealtors.org/news-media/news-articles/2025/10/citizens-policy-count-plummets ↩
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Tate et al., "Estimating Recent Local Impacts of Sea-Level Rise on Current Real-Estate Losses," PMC/NCBI, https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6267259/ ↩
