Sarah Forbes had her go bag packed weeks before the alert hit her phone at 9:30 on a Saturday morning. She'd made a list, thought it through, knew what she'd grab on the way out the door. Then her husband started hauling bins and boxes up from the basement.
The bags were ready. The list was ready. Her husband pulling box after box onto the driveway was the part no checklist accounts for, the distance between what you plan to take and what you actually cannot leave behind.
Forbes was one of roughly 1,300 residents across four Evergreen, Colorado neighborhoods who evacuated their homes that morning from a wildfire that does not exist. No smoke. No flames. A high of 64 degrees under a sky so dry and clear it looked like a postcard of the place that might not survive next summer. "We are petrified, it is so dry," Forbes told CBS Colorado. "It has never been this dry. We've always worried about wildfires, but this year it's not an if but a when, I think."
The drill covered Beaver Brook, Echo Hills, Evergreen West, and Raven Ridge, neighborhoods along Highway 103 that had spent six months preparing. Deputies went door to door, just as they would in a real evacuation. Residents drove to checkpoints where officials recorded how long it took to clear each area. The whole exercise had the procedural calm of a school fire drill, except the school was 120 square miles of drought-stricken forest where more than 35,000 people share a handful of two-lane roads out.
Two Routes, Maybe
Jeffrey Skates watched the line of vehicles from his passenger seat and did the math out loud. "We have really one route out of here, actually two routes, either into Evergreen or up this way, over 103, but a lot of areas only have one egress," he told Denver7. His wife Colleen, driving, had put it more simply before they left: "Our danger is extremely high."
Evergreen ranks higher than 99% of communities nationally for catastrophic wildfire risk. Computer simulations show it has the longest evacuation time of any wildfire-prone area in Colorado.
The roads feeding Highway 103 are the kind of mountain roads that feel narrow on a Tuesday afternoon with no emergency. Fire Chief Michael Weege, watching the cars inch through the drill's checkpoints, confirmed what the road was already demonstrating: "The roads weren't built for mass evacuations."
Wildland Fire Division Chief Jason Puffett had spent months preparing for this. His team divided the district's 126 square miles into 26 planning units and ran evacuation modeling, measuring time and impact together. "It's probably going to start from outside the district in Forest Service lands and carry through based on wind and terrain," Puffett told CBS Colorado in February. One lesson from the 2020 Elephant Butte Fire already shaped the drill's design: "We need to be more proactive with evacuation orders. We're going to call for pre-evacuations sooner than we have historically."
What They Drove Past
In the weeks before the drill, Chris Hanson stood on Brook Forest Road, a twisting two-lane corridor south of the drill area, and pointed at something that captures the particular logic of living here. Denver Mountain Parks had cleared vegetation along the road to reduce wildfire risk. Good. Necessary. The cut wood sat in piles, stacked and waiting to be burned. Along the evacuation route. "The key difficulty is how close this is to this road," Hanson told CBS Colorado. "This is the one escape route for hundreds, if not thousands, of houses up that way."
The piles can't be burned. Burn season requires four inches of snow on the ground. There is no snow. All of Jefferson County sits in severe or extreme drought. Denver Mountain Parks land across Evergreen is under a Stage 2 fire ban. Puffett estimated thousands of piles waiting across the district. Einar Jensen, Evergreen Fire Rescue's wildland fire spokesperson, put the count at 3,800 in the fire district alone. Tens of thousands more sit across the state.
"I'm not planning on getting out on this road. I know this road is going to be a dumpster fire. So I'm planning a dirt road or a shelter in place in one of the grassy valleys. There's not a lot of fault. It's the nature of the beast. We're living in a very dangerous area." — Chris Hanson
The Freak-Out Factor
Jensen described the drill's purpose with a phrase worth sitting with: the exercise was designed to "reduce the freak-out factor." Build muscle memory. Make the unthinkable routine.
Routine has gaps of its own, though. Only 20% of residents in the Evergreen Fire Protection District have signed up for Lookout Alert, the emergency notification system. Jensen called the number disheartening. During the drill itself, some participants discovered their phones had flagged the evacuation alert as spam. Weege confirmed the problem: the 911 system's notification came through as an unrecognized number, and phones simply swallowed it. The people who showed up, who packed bags and sat in lines on a Saturday morning, found the system eating the very warning designed to save them.
Forbes didn't mince it. "There is no reason not to. There's no excuse."
Jensen, looking at the season ahead, offered a forecast that sounded like a countdown. "All it's going to take is a few more hot, windy, dry days, and those wildfire conditions are going to ripen right up."
There has not been a fire over 100 acres in Evergreen in more than a century. The forests have filled in with far more trees per acre than naturally occur, the result of 150 years of fire suppression. Ninety-seven percent of Colorado is in drought. The state expects a thousand to two thousand more fires this year than a typical season.
On May 3, 2026, 1,300 people got in their cars and drove away from homes that weren't burning. They packed bags and argued about what to grab from the basement. They sat in lines on narrow mountain roads, past piles of cut wood that can't be burned, under a sky with no clouds and no smoke, rehearsing for the day that everyone here believes is coming.
Then they turned around and drove home.
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Idaho standardizes evacuation messaging: After years of inconsistent county-by-county wildfire warnings, Idaho officially adopted the "Ready, Set, Go" program statewide, with South Fremont's fire chief reporting 29 fire calls in March alone, a month that normally sees none.
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Colorado's drought task force activated: Governor Polis announced that 97% of Colorado faces moderate to severe or worse drought, with state officials estimating 1,000 to 2,000 more fires this year than a typical season.
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Evacuation routes compared to Paradise: A Denver Gazette investigation using the FLEET evacuation model found that Evergreen's ratio of residents to lanes of egress is near or above the ratio in Paradise, California, where 85 people died in 2018 trying to evacuate on gridlocked roads.
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Western fire projections debated: A new AGU study suggests previous models may have overestimated future wildfire-burned area by up to an order of magnitude, but the uncertainty itself complicates how communities like Evergreen plan and budget for the seasons ahead.